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  1. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    I certainly understand those fears. But I would actually say that scenario (closet MAGA jurors) is probably the least likely scenario. The prosecutors for sure planned for this, heavily vetted the jury panel, and are in a very democratic area. If anything, I actually think Michael Cohen wasn’t...
  2. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    You think he’s going to win his current trial?
  3. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Trump should be a convicted felon by then. I hope Biden calls him a felon repeatedly. By the September date, Trump could be in prison though. Wonder how they'd go about doing that debate.
  4. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    The newest NYT poll is the absolute worst: Trump - 100 Biden - 0
  5. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Haha I know. I was joking. PS. Good post though
  6. mikal

    New Album Discussion 1 - Songs of..... - Unreasonable guitar album

    Most likely. What's really crazy is that all the band really needs to do is simplify things a little bit. I'm a local cover musician in my town, just played Running To Stand Still the other night, and it's crazy to think how powerful that song is but how simple it is at the same time. Also...
  7. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    At this point, it makes me wonder if we should even have an election, since it looks like Joe Biden has already lost.
  8. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Even better
  9. mikal

    NBA 2023-24 Thread

    Michael Jordan NBA Logos vs LeBron James NBA Logos
  10. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Strange that the media isn't all over the new Quinnipiac poll that shows Biden up by 6% in Wisconsin but they love every poll that shows him down.
  11. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    MTG is getting destroyed right now and I'm loving it.
  12. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    100%. The burden is on Trump to flip enough voters, and he’s going to have to do this with a lot less campaign money and possibly being a convicted felon.
  13. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Nate Silver - "See this poll that clearly shows Biden ahead with likely voters? Nope, not putting that one in my model."
  14. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    So true. Also, it's quite obvious that NYT wants to project this as a scary race where Biden is behind. Don't trust a thing from them.
  15. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Yep. Polls really seem like a crapshoot. The one I pay the most attention to is "Likely Voters". In past elections, that's been the best indicator.
  16. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    She can’t just delay a trial indefinitely over and over. That’s not a thing. The 11th is going to either overrule or remove her. I do agree though that with the schedule, it would have been probably the last trial to happen anyway.
  17. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    That’s not a realistic view. Cannon doesn’t have magical powers and the 11th will hold her accountable.
  18. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Judge Cannon is going to go through some things in her career.
  19. mikal

    Shuttlecock XXV: Cool Hats Club

    The only problem I have with the Please Single Mix is that it doesn't quite capture the energy of the live version. Same with the LNOE single mix. The last minute of the live version is so good. They do capture it on the single mix, but not the same energy. The guitar could have used a bit...
  20. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    We're in the 3rd week. Most likely another month, then verdict. So probably looking at a June conviction. Plenty of time to throw him in prison before November.
  21. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Haha for sure. Yeah, so that’s where this New York trial might also help. If the public knows that there’s no way he could get out of prison, even if elected, that could also turn off that small slither of voters that we were talking about earlier.
  22. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Oh, also, I was looking around the world wide web this morning and can't find a true answer to this. Let's say Trump does get sentenced to prison and has to start serving prior to the election. Let's say he actually wins while he's in prison. Do we actually know the protocol for what happens...
  23. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Yeah, I think we agree there. I know a couple people who are Republican, always have been, who can't stand Trump. But they also hate Biden and want him out. That's the population I'm talking about. The ones who are like "fuck it, I'm not voting for either".
  24. mikal

    US Politics XXXVIII: "Patriots" vs Reality

    Yep. There is still that weird little group though, like 20% of Trump voters that say they would reconsider or not vote at all if Trump were convicted. I'm sure not all 20% will defect, but with such a slim margin, even a 3% defect could be the final blow to Trump.
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